Mexico

Rotation baseline confirmation; cartel-displacement evidence corroborates published score.

Boston Globe (May 16): cartel drone warfare in Guerrero — drones fired on civilians, 1,200 military deployed, 44,695+ displaced 2024-2025 with no government re…

No new May 24-window evidence. Carry-forward: cartel drone warfare in Guerrero (800-1,000 families displaced, May 10-16); government figure suppression; Sheinb…

Los Ardillos drone warfare forced 800-1,000 Guerrero families to flee (May 10-16); government figure suppression (claimed 120 vs NGO-documented 800+) is a tran…

First formal assessment confirms 32.8 baseline with -1.5 net sub-threshold signal. Cartel-driven mass displacement (800-1,000 Guerrero families May 10), UN ant…