Timor-Leste

No new evidence today; first-baseline confirmed May 19 (post-ASEAN-accession integration arc)

No new evidence today; first-baseline confirmed May 19 (post-ASEAN-accession integration arc)

No new evidence today; first-baseline confirmed May 19 (post-ASEAN-accession integration arc)

No new evidence today; first-baseline confirmed May 19 (post-ASEAN-accession integration arc)

ASEAN full membership (October 2025); HRW April 2026 clean rights record; AICHR role active. No new May 25 evidence.

ASEAN full membership (October 2025); HRW April 2026 clean rights record; AICHR role active; narrowest upward margin in boundary-watch cohort

Third consecutive cycle at the proposed crossing. Vanuatu's Functional crossing this cycle establishes a Pacific cluster precedent that contextualizes Timor-Le…

ASEAN full membership (October 2025) and clean human rights record confirmed by HRW April 2026; AICHR role active; Pacific cluster cohort reinforced

HRW April 2026 confirms Timor-Leste's strong human rights record within ASEAN; AICHR role active. ASEAN governance-translation thesis intact. Narrowest upward …

ASEAN full membership (October 2025) and clean human rights record confirmed by HRW April 2026; AICHR role active

ASEAN accession governance translation; Myanmar universal-jurisdiction prosecution arc maintained

First-baseline confirmed at 0.9 points below Functional; Myanmar universal jurisdiction prosecution is the strongest active positive INT signal.

UNGA vote; Myanmar universal jurisdiction prosecution conclusion

First-baseline confirmed at 1.9 points below Functional; Myanmar universal jurisdiction prosecution is positive INT anchor.