Chad

Refugee load, lean season and WFP funding crisis ongoing; near-floor; no new in-window mover.

Lake Chad Basin insecurity and food insecurity; January 2026 data outside 14-day window; freshness ruling applied.

FAO Sahel projection excluded by freshness rule; Sudan/CAR refugee burden already priced.

Refugee-hosting strain during June–August lean season; part of 24.3M Sahel humanitarian appeal.