India — anniversary re-confirm. Indus Waters Treaty abeyance formally reaffirmed as conditional sustained policy instrument (not temporary). HRW World Report 2026 documents 8,000+ X account blocking under executive order, post-conflict media crackdown, anti-Muslim hate-speech surge. Composite 34.4 / Developing sustained. INT and EQU remain at band floor. All dimensions unchanged.
Meta Platforms — FIRST AGENT BASELINE. Scanner null-classification corrected to canonical 10.9 / Critical (fortune-500.json rank 445). Phase 2 New Mexico bench trial active in window: court-ordered child safety reforms sought after Phase 1 $375M verdict (75,000 violations of NM Unfair Practices Act; knowing harm to children's mental health). Meta threatened to remove platforms from New Mexico rather than comply — withdrawal-threat-rather-than-comply posture registered as structural INT signal. NM AG: Meta's stance 'is showing the world how little it cares about child safety.' Critical-band confirmed. Phase 2 ruling (expected late May / early June) is next material event: if Meta refuses court-ordered reforms, floor-candidacy review triggered.
Monaco — FIRST AGENT BASELINE. Rotation backfill. Composite 51.6 / Functional confirmed. BND 4.0 (micro-state rule-of-law boundary clarity); EQU 2.5 (non-citizen-majority population, no domestic asylum process). March 2026 GRECO cited improvements in legislative transparency but persistent gaps on parliamentarian financial-interest disclosure and judicial-appointment transparency. July 2024 asset-disclosure regime and independent ethics committee established. UN CERD 118th-session follow-up active in window. Lèse-majesté statutory exception (up to 5 years for prince-criticism) is sub-threshold INT concern. Reconstructs cleanly.
Namibia — FIRST AGENT BASELINE. Rotation backfill. Composite 50.0 / Functional confirmed. Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah elected first female President 2024. April-May 2026 (in-window): President publicly optimistic that Namibia-Germany genocide reparations final agreement can be reached by end of 2026; chiefs' forum and technical task force review nearing conclusion. Counter-weight: very high Gini coefficient; post-apartheid land-ownership asymmetry; Herero/Nama civil society contests prior joint-declaration participation exclusion. Inaugural Genocide Remembrance Day institutionalised May 28 2025. Reconstructs cleanly.
Myanmar — FLOOR CONDUCT DOCUMENTATION. No score change. May 7 2026 Winmana village hospital airstrike (Kani Township, Sagaing Region): two PDF members receiving medical treatment killed. Patients targeted under medical care — direct IHL violation (Geneva Conventions Art. 18, AP I Art. 12). Near-daily airstrike pattern in window: May 6 Tedim Township (9 killed including 5 women), May 2 Kanpetlet (9 civilians including children). Amnesty International December 2025 established hospital-targeting as documented pattern category. Fortify Rights November 2025 documented systematic destruction of medical facilities. UN SR Tom Andrews April 2026: 127x airstrike escalation 2021-2025. Hospital-targeting pattern appended to floor-exit-criteria record. Floor cluster: 8 entities, no change this cycle.
Conduct documented
›May 7 2026 hospital airstrike (Winmana village, Kani Township, Sagaing) — patients targeted under medical care
›May 2-7 near-daily airstrike cluster across Sagaing and Chin State — systematic civilian and medical-facility targeting
›Hospital-targeting pattern category formally appended to floor-exit-criteria record
Math hygiene
Entities where published composite and reconstructed composite diverge. Tracked openly as a publication-integrity obligation.
Pentagon AI dispute ongoing — DC Circuit oral arguments May 19; White House reopened discussions but no structural carve-out announced. Phase 1 safeguard inventory delivery May 15 is next material event.
Magyar swearing-in confirmed May 9 — hold expires May 9. Positive band-change candidate. Pre-staged dossier ready. MANDATORY first-queue item for May 9 scan.
Peter Magyar sworn in as Prime Minister — mandatory positive band-change assessment. Pre-staged dossier ready. First confirmed positive band-change opportunity in EU countries cluster in several cycles.
Three-day trilateral ceasefire (May 9-11) — first day of conduct window. Trump-brokered; dual presidential confirmation from Zelenskyy and Kremlin aide Ushakov. 1,000-prisoner swap included. First agreed trilateral ceasefire after collapse of all prior unilateral attempts. May 9 conduct is the scoring evidence.
Phase 1 safeguard inventory delivery to Pentagon — first hold-expiry trigger. White House discussions on carve-out ongoing. DC Circuit oral arguments May 19 as second trigger.
30-day re-evaluation: federal military response to TPLF reconstitution of pre-war Tigray regional council. Floor candidacy retained. Federal military response or large-scale civilian harm event triggers floor designation.
·1 signal
Meta Platforms
Phase 2 New Mexico bench trial ruling window (three weeks from May 4 open). If court-ordered reforms issued and Meta refuses compliance: floor-candidacy review triggered. If Meta complies: sub-threshold positive trajectory signal.
Floor designations
·8 entities at composite 0 with documented evidence pattern
Composite scores resolving at zero — methodology disclosure
These entities have all 8 dimensions resolving at the lowest behavioral anchor (1.0/5.0) across multiple assessment cycles. Read the methodology.
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