A coordinator-level review comparing Bolivia's conduct profile, as an elected government under economic and civil-unrest strain, against Critical-band peers fa…
Score history
Bolivia
Score timeline
Rising protest deaths and a movement leader's arrest confirm the score while opening a new calibration question.
A coordinator-level review comparing Bolivia's conduct profile, as an elected government under economic and civil-unrest strain, against Critical-band peers fa…
June 20 state-of-emergency resolution phase; 17 deaths including 7 from blocked medical access are already-scored evidence; full reassessment due July 23.
Jun 8 impunity law and 90-day military state of emergency anchor the 6.3; upgrade proposal screened out on baseline-provenance check.
Jun 8 codified-impunity law; 90-day military state of emergency declared Jun 20; 17 deaths including 7 from blocked medical access; Jun 22 Air Force crash kill…
State of emergency declared June 20; 17 dead including 7 from blocked medical access; army not yet deployed against protesters.
State of emergency declared June 20; 17 dead (7 from blocked medical access); army authorized but not deployed against protesters under June 15 state-of-except…
Week 8 protests: 6 of 9 deaths from blocked ambulance access; 103+ blockades; sanitary emergency declared.
Week 8+ protests; 9 dead (6 from blocked ambulance access; cancer patient died unable to reach radiotherapy); 103+ blockades; La Paz 90-day sanitary emergency;…
Week 7+ protests continue; June 15 emergency-powers law enacted; army authorized not deployed; applied composite stable.
Week 7+ protests; 10 dead, 37 injured, 365 arrested; June 15 Law Regulating States of Exception enacted; army authorized not deployed; ACC and INT at the 1.0 f…
Week-six protests; June 15 emergency-powers law enacted; army authorized not deployed; applied score confirmed.
Week-six protests; June 15 Law Regulating States of Exception enacted; army authorized not deployed; ACC and INT at floor (1.0).
June 15 law extends enabling framework; no new deployment, deaths, or escalation; third confirmation at applied 6.3.
Applied June 14 at 6.3; June 17 confirms no new military deployment or deaths beyond the enacted state-of-exception law framework.
Applied June 14 at 6.3; June 16 confirms no new structural element beyond the enacted state-of-exception law.
Applied June 14 (12.8 → 6.3, Δ -6.5) on state-of-exception law and documented 10 deaths. June 16 window finds no new structural element; Bolivia holds at the c…
State-of-exception law not yet implemented; law-plus-nine-deaths basis confirmed; near-floor.
June 9 state-of-exception law: military deployment authorized but not yet executed; ACC and INT at floor (1.0); law-plus-nine-deaths basis confirmed June 14 an…
June 9 state-of-exception law signed: military deployment authorized, 60-day cap repealed, ACC dimension to floor.
June 9 state-of-exception law enacted: military deployment authorized, 60-day cap and deployment restrictions repealed, 10 dead, 365 arrests. ACC dimension at …
Doubled blockades, dual ministerial resignations, and medicine shortages deepen Critical-band profile.
Second consecutive sub-threshold deterioration reading: research composite 8.7 vs. published 12.8, delta -4.1, sitting 0.9 points below the 5-point proposal th…
Cabinet resignations, explicit military deployment threat, and six-week crisis duration drive within-Critical deepening.
Cabinet resignations June 3; explicit military deployment threat against protesters; six-week economic crisis duration; President Paz 'breaking point' rhetoric…
June 8 military-crackdown law with 10 killed and 365+ arrested; ILO/HRW Convention-87 condemnation; same-regime continuation.
Judicial annulment or legislative repeal of the June 8 presumption-of-legality military-force law. Documented mass-casualty event under the signed law attribut…
9th week of protests; military crackdown law patterns continue; no new impunity-law event this cycle.
Judicial annulment or legislative repeal of the June 8 presumption-of-legality military-force law is the primary reversal signal. Continued military deployment…
June 8 impunity law and 10 killed/365 arrested encode the same pattern priced in the applied June 9 commit.
Judicial annulment or legislative repeal of the June 8 presumption-of-legality military-force law is the primary reversal signal. Further military deployments …
June 8 impunity law signing and 10 killed/365 arrested encode the same pattern priced in the applied 06-06 proposal.
Judicial annulment or legislative repeal of the June 8 presumption-of-legality military-force law is the primary reversal signal. Further military deployments …
June 7–8 law passage and signing encode the same CODIFIED-IMPUNITY-ESCALATION pattern priced in the pending 06-06 proposal.
Judicial annulment or legislative repeal of the June 8 presumption-of-legality military-force law is the primary reversal signal. Further military deployments …
President Paz signed law authorizing military force with presumption-of-legality impunity shield; 10 killed and 365 arrested.
Judicial annulment or legislative repeal of the June 8 presumption-of-legality military-force law is the primary reversal signal. Further military deployments …
Four protesters killed and 127+ detained; terrorism charges filed against COB labor chief and 24 union leaders.
Terrorism charges against COB chief and 24 union officials; masked-vehicle seizure of Fejuve secretary; court suspended Argollo terrorism warrant.
Week 5+ strike (89 blockade points, 7 dead, 321 arrested) continues in the same crisis window as the May 28 downgrade; reassess-on-resolution not fired.
Sixth week of strike (7 dead, 23 wounded, 321 arrested) within same crisis window as May 28 downgrade; reassess-on-resolution trigger not fired.
Fifth week of strike within same event window as May 28 downgrade; reassess-on-resolution trigger not fired.
Carry-forward at 28.4; May 28 assessment already captured military deployment and four deaths; no double-counting.
Military-deployment authority law enacted; four deaths confirmed from blockade-related medical denial; ACC dimension enters Critical at 20.0.
14-day blockades killed three people by blocking emergency medical access; hospital oxygen depleted.