Bolivia 28.4 → 22.8 (−5.6) — STATE-REPRESSION-IN-FLUX: Lethal Force and Criminalization of Labor Leadership in Sixth Week of Protests

Four protesters were killed and more than 127 detained in the most recent documented period; subsequent reporting through June 9 documents 10 killed and 365 arrested, confirming the proposal magnitude is conservative. Terrorism and narco-funding charges were filed against COB national labor-federation executive secretary Mario Argullo and 24 union leaders — an AB1 deflection and AB4 weaponization of the justice apparatus against organized civil society. The Defense and Education Ministers resigned June 2, indicating a functioning-but-stressed state apparatus rather than collapse. Bolivia is a non-floor Developing entity; the attested deaths and detentions reveal un-priced harm across five dimensions: ACC (criminalizing dissent, 1.8→1.4), BND (lethal force against civilians, 2.3→1.9), EQU (repression of indigenous and worker claimants, 1.9→1.6), EMP (2.4→2.0), and INT (justice-apparatus weaponization, 2.0→1.7). AWR, ACT, and SYS are held — the apparatus is stressed, not collapsed. The multi-dimension downgrade of −5.6 (28.4→22.8) clears the five-point change-proposal threshold. No band crossing: Bolivia remains in the Developing band, well above the Critical boundary at 20/21. A new methodology ruling — STATE-REPRESSION-IN-FLUX (SCORABLE) — establishes that new state-attributable lethal repression of dissent is scorable on a non-floor Developing entity even when the apparatus has not collapsed, distinguishing this from the conflict-driven floor entities and the filed-but-unadjudicated corporate cluster.

The UNSC unanimously condemned the detentions on June 6 and demanded immediate release of 73 UN and civil-society staff held since 2024. HRW and Amnesty International issued a joint demand for release on June 7. WFP has terminated 365 staff contracts in response to the detention pattern. The in-custody death deepens the Houthi-perpetrated in-territory harm the 0.0 floor already encodes; the ATTRIBUTION-NON-STATE-ACTOR-AT-FLOOR ruling holds and cannot move lower. More than 18.3 million people in Yemen are food-insecure. First improvement signals would be verified release of all detained staff and confirmed humanitarian-corridor opening.

Contact tracing coverage has declined to approximately 20% of known transmission chains. The PHEIC declared by WHO remains active; no approved vaccine exists for the Bundibugyo strain. DRC carries a concurrent 26.5 million food-insecure population. The NATURAL-DISASTER-OVERLAY-NON-DOUBLE-COUNT ruling sustains the near-floor 2.3 composite: the outbreak reveals already-priced state-response incapacity, absent documented deliberate state obstruction. The conversion trigger is documented deliberate state interference with the WHO response — access denial, fund diversion, or case-data suppression.

The June 15 date materializes an already-priced layoff; the scored adjustment, if warranted, would arise from adjudicated findings on the remote-reclassification-as-WARN-avoidance theory. The Washington state class action and New Jersey state WARN 90-day proceedings are the two active adjudication channels. Oracle sits 0.6 points above Critical — the second-narrowest active corporate margin after 3M's 0.3-point boundary. Any adjudicated or corroborated finding on the avoidance theory before or after June 15 constitutes an immediate scoring trigger.

The 2026 YTD execution count has reached 612, with 123-week hunger strikes documented at 56 detention facilities and 41 or more protesters at identified imminent execution risk. The SCALE-FLOOR ruling holds at 2.5: the June execution surge deepens a single dominant extremity already priced in the composite and does not satisfy the multi-category threshold required for movement to the absolute 0.0 floor. The scale-floor anchor is reinforced.

The Australia $1.43B sovereign PFAS claim and Minnesota MPCA PFOS suit (filed within one month of each other; carry-forward from June 4) remain the active adjudication channels. A modeled downgrade of −2.3 would cross into Critical but falls below the five-point change-proposal threshold. Prior settled reparation ($850M Minnesota 2018; A$408M Australian community settlements) holds ACC above the absolute floor under the FILED-BUT-UNADJUDICATED plus ADJUDICATED-PRIOR-REPARATION framing. The decisive conversion triggers are adverse adjudication or settlement of either suit, or rejection of 3M's military-contractor federal immunity defense in the Minnesota proceeding.