United States 23.4 → 17.5 (−5.9) — Band Crossing Proposed: Developing → Critical; ADJUDICATED-UNLAWFUL-CONDUCT-IS-SCORABLE

Australia's federal government filed its largest-ever government environmental claim ($1.43B) against 3M, alleging that 28 military installations were contaminated with AFFF and that 3M withheld information about known health risks — an AB1 deflection allegation at the sovereign level. The Minnesota Pollution Control Agency simultaneously filed suit alleging that PFOS contamination at 310,000 parts per trillion (versus a 0.05 ppt standard) continues 'to this day' despite the 2018 $850M Minnesota settlement; 3M asserts military-contractor federal immunity and seeks federal removal. A new methodology framing — FILED-BUT-UNADJUDICATED plus ADJUDICATED-PRIOR-REPARATION — is established: the new harms are filed-but-unadjudicated civil complaints without merits adjudication, but 3M has adjudicated prior reparation ($850M Minnesota 2018; A$408M Australian community settlements) that functions as an AB5 reparative-action signal holding ACC above the absolute floor. A disciplined modeled downgrade of −2.3 (ACC 1.5→1.25, INT 1.5→1.25, EMP 2.0→1.75) would cross the same Developing-to-Critical boundary as the United States proposal, but falls below the five-point threshold. 3M sits 0.3 points above Critical — the narrowest active corporate margin. The decisive conversion triggers are adverse adjudication or settlement of either suit, or rejection of the military-contractor immunity defense.

The detentions were carried out by the Houthi (Ansar Allah) movement — a non-state armed group controlling territory in northern Yemen — not by the internationally-recognized Yemeni government. A new methodology ruling — ATTRIBUTION-NON-STATE-ACTOR-AT-FLOOR — is established: where harm is perpetrated by an armed non-state actor controlling territory within a failed-state entity, that in-territory armed-actor conduct is already encoded by the existing active-perpetration and conflict-driven floor. The country entity aggregates all in-territory actors at the floor. Yemen is added to the 0.0 floor cohort. The absolute floor (harm-flag override, all dimensions 1.0) cannot move lower; the ruling reinforces rather than changes the designation. More than 22.3 million people in Yemen require humanitarian assistance. First improvement signals would be verified detainee release and confirmed humanitarian-corridor opening.

The June 15 date materializes an already-priced layoff; the scored adjustment, if warranted, would arise from adjudicated findings on the remote-reclassification-as-WARN-avoidance theory (classifying remote workers to avoid WARN notification thresholds) rather than from the deadline itself. The Washington state class action and New Jersey state WARN 90-day proceedings are the two active adjudication channels for the avoidance theory. Oracle sits 0.6 points above Critical — the narrowest active corporate margin in the Fortune 500 cluster after 3M's 0.3-point boundary. Any adjudicated or corroborated finding on the avoidance theory before or after June 15 constitutes an immediate scoring trigger.

The suit joins the existing DOJ MA-billing criminal probe and the Massachusetts AG $100M MassHealth fraud suit (alleging a decade-long 2015–2025 SCO upcoding scheme with treble damages reaching approximately $300M) — three simultaneous sovereign enforcement actions corroborating the same billing-and-pricing conduct pattern. The FILED-BUT-UNADJUDICATED ruling is sustained: high sovereign-enforcement density reinforces a near-floor ACC 1.125 / EMP 1.25 profile already priced at 10.2. Even an aggressive modeled downgrade reaches only −2.0, sub-threshold. Confirm-with-watch; the leading corporate scoring trigger is merits adjudication or settlement of any of the three actions.

Naghdi and the Amiri brothers face imminent execution risk. The SCALE-FLOOR ruling holds at 2.5: June's execution surge deepens a single dominant extremity already priced in the composite and does not satisfy the multi-category threshold required for movement to the absolute 0.0 floor. The execution pattern reinforces the near-floor designation without generating a new proposal.

No approved vaccine exists for the Bundibugyo strain. Contact tracing covers approximately 45% of known transmission chains. A $518M international response plan is active but post-USAID funding constraints limit surge capacity at the outbreak's peak window. DRC confirms at 2.3 under the NATURAL-DISASTER-OVERLAY-NON-DOUBLE-COUNT ruling: the outbreak is an exogenous shock revealing priced state-response incapacity, absent documented deliberate obstruction. Documented deliberate state interference with the WHO response — access denial, fund diversion, case-data suppression — would break the overlay hold from the near-floor 2.3 composite.