United States

ICE detention arc continuing; EQU dimension at Critical (17.5); OBBBA Medicaid work requirements active December 2026.

ICE detention arc sub-threshold accumulation continues; EQU at 17.5 Critical from May 27 apply.

ICE detention arc continuing; EQU dimension already at Critical (17.5); sub-threshold accumulation ongoing.

AP investigation: ICE detainee suicides at 22-year record; nine of ten victims Hispanic men under 32, in custody under one month.

OBBBA House passage sub-threshold accumulator; CBO 7.6M Medicaid loss is forecast, not yet realized.

No new apply-threshold event in May 25 window. OBBBA implementation arc active with Medicaid work requirement re-verification beginning December 2026 (CBO: 10.…

No new apply-threshold event in May 24 window. OBBBA implementation (December 31 forward trigger) remains the primary structural watch. Drift-guard canonical b…

HRW May 14 report on US foreign aid cuts harming human rights globally, Bush Center monthly immigration update (605,000+ deported, 1.9M self-deported), and Ver…

Post-May 21 downgrade baseline confirmed at 49.2. USCIS consular-processing memo (May 22), Texas immigrant detention due-process proceedings, and CBO-projected…

The US voted against the UNGA ICJ Climate resolution alongside Russia, Iran, and Saudi Arabia — after distributing a pre-vote cable opposing adoption. The vote…

United States