Compassion Benchmark
Compassion BenchmarkDaily BriefingMonday, July 6, 2026No. 83

Russia 0 of 100: July Civilian Toll Hits 170 Per Day — Highest Since 2023; Kyiv Jul 5-6 Kills 21-Plus, Zero of 23 Missiles Intercepted; Dnipro Strike Kills 17; EU Special Tribunal Active; Ukraine 50.0 of 100 Confirmed; South Sudan 0 of 100 — Famine Risk in Four Counties

1,260 reviewed15 assessed21 forward watches

Today's numberCRITICALpriority signalRussia

MethodologyExplore indexes

1,260 entities reviewed across 7 indexes. Full methodology.

Today in 30 seconds

Russia's July civilian toll reaches 170 per day — the highest rate since 2023 — as the Kyiv barrage kills 21-plus with zero of 23 missiles intercepted; El Salvador's Critical-band score of 15.0 of 100 is now published and the pending queue is clear.

Independent daily scoring of how 1,256 institutions recognize, respond to, and reduce suffering — 0–100 composite, 8 dimensions.

1,260 scanned15 assessed

Today's 15 assessments by band
Today's 5 signals by severity
5critical

21 forward triggers tracked.

The full finding & its evidence

Today's analysis

The most significant editorial findings in the Jul 6 briefing.

Editorial insight

July 6, 2026 is a confirmation-dominant cycle: all 15 assessed entities hold at their published scores. Zero new proposals were generated.

Today's question
·
execution-arcdouble-count-methodologynear-floor-boundaries

Iran's Accountability dimension reflects a priced 784-plus execution arc. The 141-execution June count is new monthly evidence within that arc.

Iran holds at 2.5 of 100 with 141 June executions on record as the Khamenei burial approaches July 9. If the funeral window closes without a documented crackdown, does the June monthly execution count constitute new scored conduct on the Accountability dimension — or does the double-count rule hold?
Relatediran
Lead signalcritical

Russia 0 of 100: July Civilian Toll Hits 170 Per Day — Highest Since 2023; Kyiv Jul 5-6 Kills 21-Plus, Zero of 23 Missiles Intercepted; Dnipro Strike Kills 17; EU Special Tribunal Active; Ukraine 50.0 of 100 Confirmed; South Sudan 0 of 100 — Famine Risk in Four Counties

Where this sits
Russia 0 of 100: July Civilian Toll Hits 170 Per Day — Highest Since 2023; Kyiv Jul 5-6 Kills 21-Plus, Zero of 23 Missiles Intercepted; Dnipro Strike Kills 17; EU Special Tribunal Active; Ukraine 50.0 of 100 Confirmed; South Sudan 0 of 100 — Famine Risk in Four Counties score: 0.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 20 points to the Developing band.0.020 pts to Developing
What we found

Russia holds at 0 of 100 — the absolute floor, reinforced for the sixth consecutive cycle in the July series. The July 5-6 Kyiv barrage killed 21-plus civilians with zero of 23 missiles intercepted.

Why it matters

Russia's July civilian-casualty rate is 170 per day — the highest since 2023. The Kyiv barrage intercepted zero of 23 missiles. Russia holds at 0 of 100. Ukraine holds at 50.0 of 100 on its own civilian-protection conduct.

Score trajectory — russia
russia score trajectory: stable from 0 (2026-05-20) to 0 (2026-07-06)
Forward watch21 upcoming triggers
See all forward watches
Trigger timeline — next 90 days
Forward-trigger timeline from 2026-07-06 over 90 days. 12 dated triggers: Venezuela in 2 days (high), Iran in 3 days (critical), Haiti in 4 days (high), Iran in 5 days (high), Bolivia in 17 days (medium), UnitedHealth Group in 23 days (high), DRC in 25 days (critical), xAI/Grok in 27 days (high), OpenAI in 27 days (high), Anthropic in 27 days (medium), Nigeria in 56 days (high), Somalia in 86 days (critical). 9 undated triggers: China, Russia, Sudan, Israel, Lebanon, South Sudan, Mali, Palestine, El Salvador.TodayOct 4Venezuela · 2dIran · 3dHaiti · 4dIran · 5dBolivia · 17dUnitedHealth Group · 23dDRC · 25dxAI/Grok · 27dOpenAI · 27dAnthropic · 27dNigeria · 56dSomalia · 86d
Undated triggers (TBD)
  • ChinaTBD
  • RussiaTBD
  • SudanTBD
  • IsraelTBD
  • LebanonTBD
  • South SudanTBD
  • MaliTBD
  • PalestineTBD
  • El SalvadorTBD
  • 2 days
    VenezuelaHIGH2026-07-08

    14-day reassessment checkpoint — independently corroborated suppression or falsification of casualty data, or documented deliberate aid obstruction, is the downgrade trigger from 18.0 of 100. Susta…

  • 3 days
    IranCRITICAL2026-07-09

    Close of Khamenei state funeral window — documented lethal crackdown on mourners or demonstrators, or mass arrest of political figures during July 4-9, constitutes a new scored harm event from 2.5 …

  • 4 days
    HaitiHIGH2026-07-10

    TPS work-authorization expiration for approximately 350,000 Haitians — United States-conduct forward checkpoint. Documented Haitian-state security-force atrocities or deliberate relief obstruction …

  • 5 days
    IranHIGH2026-07-11

    US-Iran Doha nuclear talks scheduled to resume July 11. A formal agreement with verifiable compliance would constitute scored positive own-conduct; a breakdown combined with new provocation would b…

  • 17 days
    BoliviaMEDIUM2026-07-23

    Full resolution-phase reassessment due. Conversion trigger: reversal of the June 8 codified-impunity law and release of detained union leaders.

  • 23 days
    UnitedHealth GroupHIGH2026-07-29

    Q2 2026 earnings call — material DOJ disclosures, investor-facing admissions about probe scope, indictment, or settlement announcements are scored triggers under Accountability and Integrity dimens…

  • 25 days
    DRCCRITICAL2026-07-31

    July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window closes. 1,561 cases and 506 deaths on July 6 — fastest 3-day growth in outbreak history. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors is the…

  • 27 days
    xAI/GrokHIGH2026-08-02

    EU AI Act full applicability — general-purpose AI transparency obligations activate. No public compliance roadmap from xAI.

  • 27 days
    OpenAIHIGH2026-08-02

    EU AI Act full applicability — same obligations apply. 42-state attorney general proceedings ongoing.

  • 27 days
    AnthropicMEDIUM2026-08-02

    EU AI Act full applicability — 27 days away. Anthropic compliance infrastructure is documented. White House 30-day vetting framework resolution is the next forward factor.

  • 56 days
    NigeriaHIGH2026-08-31

    August IPC lean-season update — IPC Phase 5 Borno trajectory and actual WFP food-assistance cuts are scored triggers from the June 19 band crossing to 18.0 of 100.

  • 86 days
    SomaliaCRITICAL2026-09-30

    Famine declaration window open through September 2026. Buur Hakaba and Baidoa at IPC AMN Phase 5. A formal IPC Phase 5 famine declaration combined with documented government aid obstruction is a sc…

  • 179 days
    El SalvadorHIGH2027-01-01

    2027 election under the July 2025 indefinite re-election constitutional amendment. Enforcement of the amendment in the 2027 election is the next structured forward trigger. El Salvador now at 15.0 …

  • TBD
    ChinaHIGH

    First documented Article 63 enforcement action under the Ethnic Unity and Progress Law — prosecution, forced rendition, or family detention of a diaspora member. Law entered force July 1; six days …

  • TBD
    RussiaCRITICAL

    Russia at 0 of 100 — the absolute floor. Cessation of deliberate attacks on civilians, return of forcibly deported children, and cooperation with the EU Special Tribunal are the upgrade-trigger con…

  • TBD
    SudanCRITICAL

    An implemented civilian-protecting ceasefire with unobstructed humanitarian access is the scored positive own-conduct trigger. El Obeid and El Fasher are the dual sentinel geographies. Al Jazeera J…

  • TBD
    IsraelCRITICAL

    Verified halt of strikes on civilians, restoration of humanitarian access, withdrawal from occupied areas, and documented cooperation with accountability mechanisms are the scored positive-conduct …

  • TBD

    A new ceasefire AND Lebanese Armed Forces assuming sovereign control of southern Lebanon AND reconstruction delivery are the scored positive-conduct triggers from 17.2 of 100.

  • TBD
    South SudanCRITICAL

    A realized Ebola incursion from DRC Haut-Uele province combined with documented failure of South Sudan's own emergency response would constitute a scorable own-conduct event — the first cross-floor…

  • TBD
    MaliHIGH

    Coordinator-level Sahel-band calibration review — Mali (12.5 of 100) versus Burkina Faso (6.3 of 100). Thirteenth consecutive day without a timeline.

  • TBD

    Independently documented Palestinian-authority deliberate targeting of, or systematic aid diversion from, its own civilians is the downgrade trigger from 25.0 of 100. Verified equitable civilian-pr…

How to read this briefing
Schema guide
The 5 performance bands
critical0–20
developing20–40
functional40–60
established60–80
exemplary80–100
Two scales

Each of the 8 dimensions is scored 1.0–5.0; these combine into a 0–100 composite score, mapped to the 5 bands above.

Key terms
Band crossing
A score change large enough to move an entity from one performance band into an adjacent one — the most structurally significant finding in a given cycle.
Boundary watch
An entity whose current score is within 3 points of a band threshold, flagged for priority reassessment in the next cycle.
Carry-forward
A dimensional credit retained from a prior assessment when new evidence is insufficient to revise a specific dimension; disclosed explicitly.
First baseline
An entity's inaugural composite score — no published score exists to compare against, so delta is not shown.
Floor designation
The most serious finding: all 8 dimensions resolve at the lowest behavioral anchor (1.0/5.0) across multiple cycles, yielding a composite of 0.
Forward trigger
A scheduled future reassessment event (e.g., a policy implementation date or legislative deadline) that may materially change an entity's score.

Signal stack

10 signals
Countriescritical

El Salvador 15.0 of 100 Critical — Downgrade Applied July 5; Published Score Is Now 15.0; Pending Queue Clear; First Apply Since June Series; China 19.5 of 100 — Article 63 Day 6 Without Enforcement

Why it matters

El Salvador's score is now 15.0 of 100 in the Critical band — the downgrade was applied on July 5. The pending queue is clear. China's Ethnic Unity Law diaspora clause has been in force six days without a documented enforcement action.

El Salvador holds at 15.0 of 100 in the Critical band. The July 2, 2026 proposal to move El Salvador from 20.3 of 100 (Developing band) to 15.0 of 100 (Critical band) — a delta of -5.3 — was applied on July 5, 2026. This is the score El Salvador now carries in all public-facing systems.

Where this sits
el-salvador score: 15.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 5 points to the Developing band.15.05 pts to Developing
Read the full signal

The proposal was based on: Cristosal — El Salvador's leading human rights organization after 25 years — forced into exile under prosecution threat; the indefinite presidential re-election constitutional amendment enacted August 2025 by a 57-to-3 vote; 86 documented political prisoners; child life-sentences; and 140-plus rights defenders who have fled the country. El Salvador drops from the July priority cluster. This is the first applied score change since the June series — the prior apply was Humana on June 21, 2026. The pending queue entered July 6 empty and exits July 6 empty. China holds at 19.5 of 100 in the Critical band. The Ethnic Unity and Progress Law's Article 63 diaspora liability has been in force for six days without a documented enforcement action — no prosecution, forced rendition, or family detention of a diaspora member has been confirmed in Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, or the United States. The sub-threshold composite dock of approximately -1.5 points does not cross the change threshold without an enforcement event. China at 19.5 of 100 sits 0.5 points below the Critical-to-Developing boundary at 20.0.

Al JazeeraCross-referenced
Sources (2)
Al Jazeera2025-08-01Cross-referenced
NPR2025-07-17Cross-referenced
Countriescritical

Sudan 0 of 100: Al Jazeera Reports El Obeid as Potentially the Next El Fasher — UN Red Alert Day 3; RSF Siege Active; DRC 2.3 of 100: Ebola Reaches 1,561 Cases and 506 Deaths — Fastest 3-Day Growth in Outbreak History; July Peak Window Active

Why it matters

Sudan's El Obeid siege is drawing direct comparisons to El Fasher — the site where crimes against humanity were documented. Sudan holds at 0 of 100. The DRC's Ebola outbreak recorded its fastest 3-day growth, with 1,561 cases and 506 deaths. DRC holds at 2.3 of 100.

Sudan holds at 0 of 100 — the absolute floor, reinforced for the fourth consecutive cycle. Al Jazeera's July 6 report frames El Obeid as potentially the next El Fasher, documenting a pattern match with the site that produced Amnesty International's crimes-against-humanity finding in the July series.

Where this sits
sudan score: 0.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 20 points to the Developing band.0.020 pts to Developing
Read the full signal

The UN red alert issued July 3 is now three days on record: 500,000 people face imminent siege risk in North Kordofan's state capital alongside 105,000 internally displaced persons in surrounding zones. Al-Burhan has not accepted a ceasefire. The RSF's El Obeid offensive is non-state conduct. Sudan at 0 of 100 reflects the Sudanese government's own prior conduct: the breakdown of state protection and documented rejection of ceasefire proposals. The scored upgrade trigger — an implemented civilian-protecting ceasefire with unobstructed humanitarian access — has not occurred. The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) holds at 2.3 of 100 — near-floor Critical. The WHO July 6 update recorded 1,561 confirmed cases and 506 deaths — up from 1,406 cases and 438 deaths on July 3. The 155-case 3-day increment is the fastest in the outbreak's history. The outbreak is in the July natural Bundibugyo seasonal peak window, active through July 31. No approved Bundibugyo vaccine exists. Contact tracing stands at approximately 45 percent. Multi-continent spread to Uganda, France, and Germany was confirmed in the prior cycle. The floor-crossing trigger — documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu — has not occurred. Confirmed at 0 of 100 for Sudan; confidence: high. Confirmed at 2.3 of 100 for DRC; confidence: high.

Al JazeeraCross-referenced
Sources (2)
Al Jazeera2026-07-06Cross-referenced
WHO2026-07-06Advocacy
Countriescritical

Iran 2.5 of 100: 141 June Executions on Record; Khamenei Burial July 9 — Watch Window Three Days Out; 784-Plus YTD at 37-Year High; US-Iran Talks Resume July 11; Haiti 4.7 of 100: TPS Work-Authorization Expires July 10 — 350,000 Affected

Why it matters

Iran holds at 2.5 of 100 with 141 June executions now on record as the Khamenei burial approaches July 9. Haiti holds at 4.7 of 100 as work authorization for approximately 350,000 Haitians expires July 10 — a United States-conduct event, not scored against Haiti.

Iran holds at 2.5 of 100 — near-floor Critical. 141 executions in June 2026 are now on record — the highest monthly figure in the priced 784-plus year-to-date count (the highest annual rate in 37 years). The Khamenei burial is scheduled for July 9 — three days away.

Where this sits
iran score: 2.5 — in the Critical band (0–20). 17.5 points to the Developing band.2.517.5 pts to Developing
Read the full signal

The protest-suppression watch flag remains active through July 9. A documented lethal crackdown on mourners, demonstrators, or political rivals during the July 4-9 funeral window constitutes a new scored harm event. Under the double-count rule, the 141 June executions and the Fallahi death sentence (July 1) continue the already-priced 784-plus annual pattern — a single month's count does not open a new scored threshold on its own. US-Iran Doha nuclear talks are scheduled to resume July 11. Haiti holds at 4.7 of 100 — near-floor Critical. The Temporary Protected Status work-authorization for approximately 350,000 Haitians expires July 10 — four days away. This is United States conduct, scored against the United States under the benchmark's attribution rule — not against Haiti. The Haitian government did not cause the TPS termination. Gang control of approximately 90 percent of Port-au-Prince — with 8,200-plus people killed year-to-date — is non-state conduct. 5.8 million people are food insecure and 1.5 million are displaced. No fresh Haitian-state own-conduct event was identified in the July 6 window. The July 10 TPS expiration is the next concrete US-conduct checkpoint in this arc. Confirmed at 2.5 of 100 for Iran; confidence: high. Confirmed at 4.7 of 100 for Haiti; confidence: medium.

Iran Human RightsNGO
Sources (2)
Iran Human Rights2026-07-06NGO
OCHA2026-07-06Advocacy
Countriescritical

Israel 0 of 100: New Priority Cluster Entrant on Perpetrator Own-Conduct — Jul 6 al-Mawasi Drone Strike on Displaced People; Lebanon Nabatieh Car Strike; Floor Confirmed; Palestine 25.0 of 100 Confirmed; Venezuela Quake Day 12 at 3,300-Plus Dead; 15 False-Positive Screens — Fourth Consecutive Record-Tied Cycle

Why it matters

Israel enters the July cluster on its own perpetrator conduct and is confirmed at 0 of 100. Palestine holds at 25.0 of 100 — harm from Israeli strikes is attributed to Israel, not Palestine. Venezuela reaches Day 12 with 3,300-plus dead. The benchmark has now screened 60 false positives across four consecutive nights without an incorrect score move.

Israel holds at 0 of 100 — the absolute floor — and enters the July priority cluster for the first time as a perpetrator own-conduct entity. The July 6 al-Mawasi drone strike targeted displaced people in a humanitarian zone in Gaza. The Nabatieh car strike in Lebanon killed four people.

Where this sits
israel score: 0.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 20 points to the Developing band.0.020 pts to Developing
Read the full signal

Both events are Israel's own realized conduct, correctly scored against Israel as the perpetrator. The al-Mawasi drone strike would constitute a scored downgrade trigger for any entity above its floor. Israel is already at the 0 of 100 floor; these events reinforce but cannot lower the floor. Israel's entry clarifies the attribution architecture for this cluster: harm perpetrated by Israel is scored against Israel; Lebanon (17.2 of 100) is scored on Lebanon's own state conduct; Palestine (25.0 of 100) is scored on Palestinian-authority own conduct. Palestine holds at 25.0 of 100. The July 6 killing of six Palestinians is Israel's conduct, scored against Israel under the directionality rule. Hamas's announced dissolution of its Gaza government is a procedural and unrealized handover — the committee remains outside Gaza; members have described it as a formality. Absence of new Palestinian-state own-harm is not an upgrade signal; absence of new own-harm is not scored as positive conduct. Venezuela holds at 18.0 of 100. The official death toll from the June 24 earthquake reached 3,300-plus on Day 12 with approximately 50,000 people unaccounted. The July 8 two-week checkpoint is two days out. Acceptance of external aid from international partners continues. Fifteen false-positive screens were documented for the fourth consecutive cycle — the first four-cycle record streak in the benchmark's history. All seven false-positive category types remain simultaneously active for the fourth straight night. 60 screens across four cycles with zero incorrect score movements.

Al JazeeraCross-referenced
Sources (2)
Al Jazeera2026-07-06Cross-referenced
OCHA2026-07-06Advocacy
medium

Countries — Russia: Record July Pace; 170 Per Day Civilian Casualties; Zero of 23 Missiles Intercepted

Russia's July civilian-casualty rate stands at 170 per day — the highest since 2023 — as the Kyiv barrage kills 21-plus with zero of 23 missiles intercepted and Dnipro kills 17; Russia holds at 0 of 100.

Read the full signal
  • Russia (0 of 100): The July 5-6 Kyiv barrage killed 21-plus civilians with zero of 23 missiles intercepted. The simultaneous Dnipro strike killed 17. That is 38-plus confirmed dead in the July 5-6 window — the highest two-day total in the July series.
  • The July daily civilian-casualty rate stands at 170 per day — the highest since 2023. By this quantitative measure, July 2026 is the most severe month in the benchmark's tracking period for Russia-attributed civilian targeting. The EU crime-of-aggression Special Tribunal is operational. 20,500-plus children forcibly deported remain on record.
  • Russia at 0 of 100 cannot go lower. Ukraine at 50.0 of 100 holds on its own civilian-protection conduct. The attribution rule functions correctly: Russia's deliberate targeting is Russia's scored harm; Ukraine's sheltering and evacuation response is Ukraine's scored conduct.
  • The 170/day figure is a structurally distinct data point. It surpasses the 2023 seasonal average and positions July 2026 as the most intensive documented sustained pace of Russia-attributed civilian targeting in this benchmark's tracking period. The EU Special Tribunal documents accountability in parallel.
medium

Countries — Sudan: Al Jazeera 'Next El Fasher' Framing; El Obeid Day 3 Under UN Red Alert; RSF Siege Active

Al Jazeera's July 6 report frames El Obeid as following the El Fasher atrocity pattern; the UN red alert is three days active; 500,000 people at imminent siege risk; Sudan holds at 0 of 100.

Read the full signal
  • Sudan (0 of 100): Al Jazeera's July 6 report explicitly draws a comparison between El Obeid and El Fasher — the site that produced Amnesty International's crimes-against-humanity finding in the July series. The framing documents a humanitarian-news consensus forming around El Obeid as the next major atrocity geography.
  • The UN red alert (July 3) is now three days on record. 500,000 people remain at imminent siege risk in North Kordofan's state capital alongside 105,000 IDPs in surrounding zones. Al-Burhan has not accepted a ceasefire. The Amnesty El Fasher crimes-against-humanity report stands from July 3.
  • Both evidence packages are RSF (non-state) conduct. Sudan at 0 of 100 reflects the Sudanese government's own prior conduct: the breakdown of state protection and Al-Burhan's documented rejection of ceasefire proposals. The scored upgrade trigger — an implemented civilian-protecting ceasefire with unobstructed access — has not occurred.
  • The structural condition: Al Jazeera's framing is not a scored event. But it documents the humanitarian-news consensus that El Obeid is following the El Fasher playbook. If El Obeid follows El Fasher to a confirmed atrocity finding, the record will show the signal was on record by July 6. OCHA's documentation of the El Obeid siege evolution is the next critical evidence checkpoint.
10 signals shown

Risk signals

Developments that may affect future scores. Watch items from the Jul 6 briefing.

Risk

Russia's 170 civilian casualties per day in July 2026 is the highest sustained pace since 2023. The July 5-6 Kyiv barrage intercepted zero of 23 missiles and killed 21-plus. The Dnipro strike killed 17 more in the same window.

Risk

Sudan's El Obeid siege is three days active under the UN red alert. Al Jazeera's July 6 report frames El Obeid as following the El Fasher atrocity pattern, with 500,000 people at imminent siege risk in North Kordofan state capital.

Risk

The DRC's Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak recorded its fastest 3-day case growth on July 6 — 1,561 cases and 506 deaths, up 155 cases from July 3. The July natural peak window is active through July 31.

Risk

Iran's Khamenei burial window closes July 9 — three days away. 141 June executions are now on record as the highest monthly total in the priced arc. US-Iran talks resume July 11.

Risk

Haiti's TPS work-authorization expires July 10 — four days away. Approximately 350,000 Haitians in the United States lose work authorization. This is United States conduct tracked in the benchmark's attribution framework.

Risk

Venezuela's earthquake toll has reached 3,300-plus dead on Day 12. The July 8 two-week checkpoint arrives in two days — the standard mark for distinguishing capacity failure from deliberate obstruction.

Risk

China's Article 63 diaspora enforcement watch is in its sixth day without a documented enforcement action since the Ethnic Unity and Progress Law entered force July 1.

Risk

EU AI Act becomes fully applicable on August 2 — 27 days away. General-purpose AI transparency obligations, Article 50 labeling, and whistleblower protections activate. xAI and OpenAI have not published compliance roadmaps.

Risk

Nigeria's August IPC lean-season update — currently tracking 35-million-plus food insecure — is the next checkpoint for a Phase 5 famine declaration in Borno with documented state aid obstruction.

Score movements

All entities assessed this cycle. No score changes.

15 assessed
Countries

Jul 5-6 Kyiv barrage kills 21-plus with zero of 23 missiles intercepted; Dnipro strike kills 17; 170 per day July pace — highest since 2023.

00ACT 0.00
OHCHRAdvocacy
Countries

Al Jazeera July 6 frames El Obeid as potentially the next El Fasher; UN red alert Day 3; RSF siege active; floor reinforced.

00BND 0.00
Al JazeeraCross-referenced
Sources (2)
Al Jazeera2026-07-06Cross-referenced
Amnesty International2026-07-03NGO
Countries

7.8 million food insecure; 73,300 at Phase 5 Catastrophe — up 160 percent since June; famine risk in four counties; Ebola cross-border risk is exogenous; floor reinforced.

00SYS 0.00
Countries

New cluster entrant on perpetrator own-conduct: Jul 6 al-Mawasi drone strike on displaced people and Nabatieh car strike (four killed) are Israel's own realized conduct; floor confirmed.

00BND 0.00
Al JazeeraCross-referenced
2.3 above Critical
Countries

WHO July 6 count 1,561 cases, 506 deaths — fastest 3-day growth in outbreak history; July natural peak active; floor-crossing trigger has not occurred.

2.32.3SYS 0.00
WHOAdvocacy

Next signal: July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window closes — documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger toward 0 of 100

2.5 above Critical
Countries

141 June executions on record; Khamenei burial July 9; Fallahi sentence continues priced 784-plus year-to-date pattern; US-Iran talks resume July 11.

2.52.5BND 0.00

Next signal: Close of Khamenei state funeral window — documented lethal crackdown on mourners or demonstrators, or mass arrest of political figures during July 4-9, constitutes a new scored harm event; US-Iran talks resume July 11

Countries

TPS work-authorization expires July 10 affecting 350,000 Haitians — United States conduct, not scored against Haiti; gang control 90 percent non-state; 5.8 million food insecure.

4.74.7SYS 0.00
OCHAAdvocacy

Next signal: TPS work-authorization expiration for approximately 350,000 Haitians — United States-conduct forward checkpoint; documented Haitian-state security-force atrocities or deliberate relief obstruction remains the Haiti-scored downgrade trigger

Fortune 500

DOJ criminal probe now extends to Optum Rx physician reimbursement practices; civil Medicare-inflation probe continues — neither adjudicated in court.

10.210.2INT 0.00

Next signal: July 29 Q2 earnings call — material DOJ disclosures, indictment, or settlement are scored Accountability and Integrity triggers

Countries

JNIM fuel blockade of Bamako and July 4 attacks are non-state; Sahel calibration flag (Mali 12.5 vs. Burkina Faso 6.3) enters thirteenth day without coordinator action.

12.512.5ACT 0.00
2.8 below Developing
Countries

Jul 6 IDF Nabatieh car strike (four killed) attributed to Israel under the directionality rule; Hezbollah is non-state; no new Lebanese own-conduct.

17.217.2BND 0.00
2.0 below Developing
Countries

Record 35-million-plus food insecure continues the June 19 already-priced band-crossing; JNIM and ISWAP attacks are non-state; August IPC lean-season update is the next checkpoint.

1818SYS 0.00

Next signal: August IPC lean-season update — Phase 5 Borno trajectory and actual WFP food-assistance cuts are scored triggers

2.0 below Developing
Countries

Day 12 earthquake: toll 3,300-plus dead, 50,000-plus unaccounted; rising toll is disaster scale; July 8 checkpoint two days out; aid acceptance blocks downgrade.

1818ACT 0.00
OCHAAdvocacy

Next signal: 14-day checkpoint — independently corroborated suppression of casualty data or deliberate aid obstruction is the downgrade trigger; sustained effective transparent relief is the upgrade trigger

0.5 below Developing
Countries

Ethnic Unity Law Article 63 in force six days without documented enforcement; double-count rule confirmed; sub-threshold dock approximately 1.5 points.

19.519.5EQU 0.00
Countries

Jul 6 killing of six Palestinians attributed to Israel; Hamas government dissolution is procedural and unrealized; no Palestinian-state own-conduct identified.

2525BND 0.00
Countries

Jul 5-6 Kyiv barrage and Dnipro strike attributed to Russia under the directionality rule; Ukraine civilian-protection response confirms Functional band at 50.0 of 100.

5050ACT 0.00
Boundary watch18 entities near a band threshold

Entities approaching band boundaries

Countries
19.5
0.5 pts to Developing
China score: 19.5 — in the Critical band (0–20). 0.5 points to the Developing band.19.50.5 pts to Developing
Critical → Developingcycle 6
Trigger to watch

First documented Article 63 enforcement action under the Ethnic Unity and Progress Law — prosecution, forced rendition, or family detention of a diaspora member — is the next scored threshold event. Law entered force July 1; six days without enforcement as of July 6.

documented
Fortune 500
59.4
0.6 pts to Established
Apple score: 59.4 — in the Functional band (40–60). 0.6 points to the Established band.59.40.6 pts to Established
Functional → Establishedcycle 12
Trigger to watch

NLRB review of the unfair-labor-practice charge filed after Apple closed its Towson, Maryland store — its first unionized store. An NLRB complaint or ruling is the conversion trigger.

boundary-watch
Countries
15.6
0.6 pts to Critical
India score: 15.6 — in the Critical band (0–20). 4.4 points to the Developing band.15.64.4 pts to Developing
Critical → Criticalcycle 22
Trigger to watch

Bengali Muslim and Rohingya expulsions documented in June 2026; detect-delete-deport digital surveillance continuing. Not assessed tonight.

documented
Ai Labs
59.1
0.9 pts to Established
Anthropic score: 59.1 — in the Functional band (40–60). 0.9 points to the Established band.59.10.9 pts to Established
Functional → Establishedcycle 16
Trigger to watch

EU AI Act full applicability on August 2 — 27 days away. White House 30-day vetting framework resolution is the next forward factor.

documented
Countries
18
2.0 pts to Developing
Venezuela score: 18.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 2 points to the Developing band.18.02 pts to Developing
Critical → Developingcycle 7
Trigger to watch

July 8 checkpoint — documented aid obstruction or independently corroborated suppression of casualty data is the downgrade trigger; sustained effective transparent relief is the upgrade trigger toward 20.0.

documented
Countries
18
2.0 pts to Developing
Nigeria score: 18.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 2 points to the Developing band.18.02 pts to Developing
Critical → Developingcycle 6
Trigger to watch

Realized WFP food-assistance cuts plus a formal IPC Phase 5 famine declaration in Borno with documented aid obstruction — August IPC lean-season update is the next checkpoint.

documented
57.8
2.2 pts to Established
Princeton University score: 57.8 — in the Functional band (40–60). 2.2 points to the Established band.57.82.2 pts to Established
Functional → Establishedcycle 5
Trigger to watch

Forced cuts that measurably degrade staff or student support are the Accountability watch trigger; capitulation abandoning academic-freedom stance is the Integrity downgrade trigger.

documented
Countries
2.3
2.3 pts to Critical
DRC score: 2.3 — in the Critical band (0–20). 17.7 points to the Developing band.2.317.7 pts to Developing
Critical → Criticalcycle 23
Trigger to watch

July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active through July 31. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger. Fastest 3-day case growth in outbreak history now on record (155 cases in 3 days).

floor-confirmed
Countries
2.5
2.5 pts to Critical
Iran score: 2.5 — in the Critical band (0–20). 17.5 points to the Developing band.2.517.5 pts to Developing
Critical → Criticalcycle 6
Trigger to watch

A documented lethal crackdown on mourners, demonstrators, or political rivals during the Khamenei funeral window (July 4-9) constitutes a new scored harm event from the near-floor 2.5 of 100. Burial is July 9. US-Iran Doha talks resume July 11.

floor-confirmed
Countries
17.2
2.8 pts to Developing
Lebanon score: 17.2 — in the Critical band (0–20). 2.8 points to the Developing band.17.22.8 pts to Developing
Critical → Developingcycle 6
Trigger to watch

A new ceasefire agreement AND Lebanese Armed Forces assuming sovereign control of southern Lebanese territory AND reconstruction delivery together constitute scored positive own-conduct — the upgrade trigger from 17.2 toward 20.0.

documented
Countries
17.2
2.8 pts to Developing
Pakistan score: 17.2 — in the Critical band (0–20). 2.8 points to the Developing band.17.22.8 pts to Developing
Critical → Developingcycle 5
Trigger to watch

Independently verified deliberate civilian targeting or a disproportionate mass-casualty cross-border strike is the downgrade trigger. Durable equitable relief scale-up with Afghan-deportation reversal is the upgrade trigger toward 20.0.

documented
Countries
4.7
4.7 pts to Critical
Somalia score: 4.7 — in the Critical band (0–20). 15.3 points to the Developing band.4.715.3 pts to Developing
Critical → Criticalcycle 13
Trigger to watch

Formal IPC Phase 5 famine declaration covering Buur Hakaba or Baidoa combined with documented government aid obstruction is the scored change trigger. Famine risk window extends through September 2026.

floor-confirmed
Countries
4.7
4.7 pts to Critical
Haiti score: 4.7 — in the Critical band (0–20). 15.3 points to the Developing band.4.715.3 pts to Developing
Critical → Criticalcycle 2
Trigger to watch

Documented Haitian-state security-force atrocities or deliberate relief obstruction is the downgrade trigger. Verified state-led civilian protection or relief restoration would be the upgrade trigger from 4.7 of 100.

floor-confirmed
Fortune 500
35.2
4.8 pts to Functional
Humana score: 35.2 — in the Developing band (20–40). 4.8 points to the Functional band.35.24.8 pts to Functional
Developing → Functionalcycle 15
Trigger to watch

DOJ False Claims Act complaint (kickbacks and disability discrimination) and Barrows v. Humana class action (nH Predict AI claim denials). Either concluded finding confirms the Developing-band designation.

documented
Countries
15
5.0 pts to Developing
El Salvador score: 15.0 — in the Critical band (0–20). 5 points to the Developing band.15.05 pts to Developing
Critical → Developingcycle 1
Trigger to watch

Due-process restoration, civil-society reinstatement, and reversal of the indefinite re-election amendment are the upgrade triggers toward 20.0 of 100. Enforcement of the amendment in the 2027 election is the next structured forward event. A further human-rights-defender imprisonment or mass-detention escalation constitutes additional downward pressure from the Critical band.

documented
Countries
25
5.0 pts to Critical
Kuwait score: 25.0 — in the Developing band (20–40). 15 points to the Functional band.25.015 pts to Functional
Developing → Criticalcycle 8
Trigger to watch

Documented discriminatory denial of emergency protection to stateless bidoon or migrant workers during wartime — Equity downgrade trigger. Durable verified expansion of bidoon rights or citizenship recognition — upgrade trigger.

documented
Countries
25
5.0 pts to Critical
Palestine score: 25.0 — in the Developing band (20–40). 15 points to the Functional band.25.015 pts to Functional
Developing → Criticalcycle 2
Trigger to watch

Independently documented Palestinian-authority deliberate targeting of, or systematic aid diversion from, its own civilians is the downgrade trigger. Verified equitable civilian-protection or relief scale-up under Palestinian control toward the Developing interior is the upgrade trigger.

documented
Countries
12.5
6.2 pts to Critical
Mali score: 12.5 — in the Critical band (0–20). 7.5 points to the Developing band.12.57.5 pts to Developing
Critical → Criticalcycle 12
Trigger to watch

Coordinator-level Sahel-band calibration review. Burkina Faso (6.3 of 100) was reassessed in June on comparable UN-documented state-perpetration conduct. Mali's starting-point score of 12.5 is above the likely calibrated range. No timeline set.

methodology-evolution

Evidence ledger

Primary sources reviewed in this briefing cycle. 12 sources linked.

russiaTier 5 · Trade/Advocacy2026-07-06
OHCHR2026-07-06Advocacy

OHCHR Ukraine Monitoring Mission July 2026: July civilian-casualty rate at 170 per day — the highest sustained pace since 2023; July 5-6 Kyiv barrage killed 21-plus civilians with zero of 23 missiles intercepted; Dnipro strike killed 17; deliberate targeting of residential areas and energy infrastructure attributed to Russian forces.

russiaTier 5 · Trade/Advocacy2026-07-06
IPC2026-07-06Advocacy

IPC July 2026: South Sudan — 7.8 million food insecure; 73,300 people at IPC Phase 5 Catastrophe in four counties; famine risk confirmed; 160 percent increase in Phase 5 population since June.

el-salvadorTier 2 · UN/IO2025-08-01
Al Jazeera2025-08-01Cross-referenced

Al Jazeera August 2025: El Salvador's Legislative Assembly approved a constitutional amendment allowing indefinite presidential re-election with 57 votes in favor and three opposed; presidential term extended to six years; runoff removed.

el-salvadorTier 2 · UN/IO2025-07-17
NPR2025-07-17Cross-referenced

NPR July 2025: Cristosal — El Salvador's leading human rights organization after 25 years of operation — forced out of the country under threat of prosecution.

sudanTier 2 · UN/IO2026-07-06
Al Jazeera2026-07-06Cross-referenced

Al Jazeera July 6, 2026: RSF El Obeid siege draws direct comparison to El Fasher pattern; UN red alert active since July 3; 500,000 people at imminent siege risk in North Kordofan state capital; Sudan government has not accepted ceasefire.

sudanTier 5 · Trade/Advocacy2026-07-06
WHO2026-07-06Advocacy

WHO July 6, 2026: Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak at 1,561 confirmed cases and 506 deaths under active PHEIC; 155-case 3-day increment is fastest in outbreak history; no approved Bundibugyo vaccine; July natural seasonal peak window active; contact tracing at approximately 45 percent.

iranTier 3 · NGO2026-07-06
Iran Human Rights2026-07-06NGO

Iran Human Rights Organization July 2026: 141 executions in June 2026 — the monthly total now on record; 784-plus executions year-to-date at a 37-year high; Sina Fallahi death sentence issued July 1; Khamenei burial scheduled July 9; US-Iran Doha talks to resume July 11.

iranTier 5 · Trade/Advocacy2026-07-06
OCHA2026-07-06Advocacy

OCHA Haiti July 2026: 5.8 million food insecure; 1.5 million displaced; gang control of approximately 90 percent of Port-au-Prince; 8,200-plus killed year-to-date by gang violence — non-state conduct; TPS work-authorization expires July 10 for approximately 350,000 Haitians — United States conduct, not scored against Haiti.

israelTier 2 · UN/IO2026-07-06
Al Jazeera2026-07-06Cross-referenced

Al Jazeera July 6, 2026: Israeli drone strike on al-Mawasi humanitarian zone in Gaza targets displaced people — perpetrator conduct scored against Israel, not against Palestinian authority; Lebanon Nabatieh car strike kills four; both events are Israeli own-conduct.

israelTier 5 · Trade/Advocacy2026-07-06
OCHA2026-07-06Advocacy

OCHA oPt July 2026: July 6 killing of six Palestinians — attributable to Israeli forces under the directionality rule; Hamas governance dissolution announcement is procedural — committee remains outside Gaza; called a formality with members staying in position.

SudanTier 3 · NGO2026-07-03
Amnesty International2026-07-03NGO

Amnesty International July 2026: RSF forces committed crimes against humanity in El Fasher, North Darfur — mass civilian killings, systematic rape, and forced displacement; El Fasher is the last major North Darfur city not under RSF control.

VenezuelaTier 5 · Trade/Advocacy2026-07-06
OCHA2026-07-06Advocacy

OCHA Venezuela July 6, 2026: official death toll 3,300-plus on Day 12; approximately 50,000 unaccounted; estimated damage $37 billion versus $200 million national fund; July 8 is the 14-day assessment checkpoint.

Floor designations

·8 entities at composite 0 with documented evidence pattern

Composite scores resolving at zero — methodology disclosure

These entities consistently score the worst result across all 8 dimensions of compassionate conduct — the benchmark's most serious classification.

What “floor” means: every one of the 8 dimensions (Recognition, Response, Reduction, and 5 others) resolves at the lowest behavioral anchor (1.0/5.0) across multiple assessment cycles, yielding a composite score of 0. Full methodology.

You're all caught up.

Monday, July 6, 2026 briefingIssue No. 831,260 entities reviewedbenchmark current as of July 6, 2026 at 05:30 AM UTC

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Read by analysts, journalists, and policy researchers tracking institutional accountability — 1,260 entities, scored every day, free.

What we're watching next
  • Venezuela(2026-07-08) — 14-day reassessment checkpoint — independently corroborated suppression or falsification of casualty data, or documen…
  • Iran(2026-07-09) — Close of Khamenei state funeral window — documented lethal crackdown on mourners or demonstrators, or mass arrest of …
  • Haiti(2026-07-10) — TPS work-authorization expiration for approximately 350,000 Haitians — United States-conduct forward checkpoint. Docu…

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