The Ebola outbreak reaches 625 deaths, the deadliest Bundibugyo-strain outbreak on record.
Score history
Democratic Republic of C
Score timeline
Documented government obstruction of World Health Organization response corridors would be the trigger to move toward the absolute floor. The natural seasonal …
Documented government obstruction of World Health Organization response corridors would be the trigger to move toward the absolute floor. The natural seasonal …
The Ebola outbreak passes 625 deaths with suspected spread to a new city.
Documented government obstruction of World Health Organization response corridors would be the trigger to move toward the absolute floor. The natural seasonal …
The Ebola outbreak passes 600 deaths, now the fastest-growing on record.
Documented government obstruction of World Health Organization response corridors would be the trigger to move toward the absolute floor. The natural seasonal …
The Ebola outbreak surpasses 500 confirmed deaths; the natural seasonal peak stays active through July 31.
Documented government obstruction of World Health Organization response corridors would be the trigger to move toward the absolute floor. The natural seasonal …
Ebola outbreak reaches 1,561 cases and 506 deaths with no approved vaccine; conflict in South Kivu restricts humanitarian access.
Documented government obstruction of World Health Organization response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu would be the trigger to move toward the ab…
WHO July 6 count 1,561 cases, 506 deaths — fastest 3-day growth in outbreak history; July natural peak active; floor-crossing trigger has not occurred.
July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active through July 31. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North K…
Ebola PHEIC active in July natural peak; 1,406 cases, 438 deaths; multi-continent spread (Uganda, France, Germany); floor-crossing trigger has not occurred.
July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor…
Ebola July natural peak window active; 1,406 cases, 438 deaths; multi-continent spread (Uganda, France, Germany) confirmed from prior cycle; floor-crossing tri…
July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor…
Ebola confirmed in Uganda, France, and Germany — first multi-continent spread; 1,406 cases, 438 deaths; floor-crossing trigger has not occurred; July peak wind…
July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor…
Ebola at 1,333-plus cases and 399-plus deaths in July 2 window; July natural peak active; France-imported case June 24; floor-crossing trigger has not occurred.
July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor…
Ebola internationally active — France and Germany imported cases confirmed; US evacuation underway; 1,307-plus cases, 377-plus deaths; July peak window active.
July natural Bundibugyo Ebola peak window — active. Documented government obstruction of WHO response corridors in Haut-Uele, Ituri, or North Kivu is the floor…
Ebola spread to Haut-Uele — the fourth province — with 1,307 cases and 377 deaths; cross-border frontier with South Sudan now active.
July natural Ebola peak window — active. Haut-Uele spread documented June 30 — now bordering South Sudan. Documented government obstruction of WHO response cor…
Ebola at 1,155 cases and 304 deaths — July natural peak window active; contact tracing at 45 percent; M23 territory overlap with WHO corridors remains the floo…
July natural Ebola peak window — now active. M23 territory overlap with WHO response corridors in North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger if documented health…
Ebola outbreak at 1,155 cases and 304 deaths — July natural peak window now active; Ituri province accounts for 91 percent of all cases; contact tracing at 45 …
July natural Ebola peak window — now active. M23 territory overlap with WHO response corridors in North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger if documented health…
Ebola now 1,155 cases and 304 deaths — up 37 cases in two days; Ituri province accounts for 91 percent of all cases; July peak imminent.
July natural Ebola peak window; M23 territory overlap with WHO response corridors in North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger if health-response obstruction is…
Ebola reached France on June 24 — first EU-imported case; total 1,118 cases and 291 deaths; no approved vaccine.
July natural Ebola peak window; M23 territory overlap with WHO response corridors in North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger if obstruction of the health resp…
Ebola 1,094 cases / 277 deaths (June 22); second-largest outbreak ever; no approved vaccine; July peak weeks away.
July natural Ebola peak window; M23 territory overlap with WHO response corridors in North Kivu is the floor-crossing trigger if obstruction of the health resp…
Ebola 1,048 cases / 267 deaths (WHO DON608 Jun 21); second-largest ever; no vaccine; 70-plus medics infected; July peak weeks away.
Ebola 1,048 cases / 267 deaths (WHO DON608, Jun 21); July natural peak window approaching; M23 territory overlapping WHO response corridors in North Kivu is th…
Ebola 1,003/254 — second-largest outbreak on record; 70+ medics infected; no Bundibugyo vaccine; July peak window within 3-5 weeks.
Bundibugyo Ebola 1,003 cases / 254 deaths Jun 22; second-largest outbreak on record; 70+ medics infected; no approved Bundibugyo vaccine; July natural peak win…
Ebola 896/232 with 70+ medics infected; cross-border spread into Uganda documented; M23/Rwanda recruitment (Rwanda attribution) overlaps outbreak corridors.
Bundibugyo Ebola 896 cases / 232 deaths; 70+ medics infected; Uganda cross-border spread confirmed; no approved Bundibugyo vaccine; July natural peak window ~5…
Ebola 896/232; M23/Rwanda abuses attributed to Rwanda (perpetrator); cross-border spread toward Uganda emerging.
Bundibugyo Ebola 896 cases / 232 deaths; July natural peak window approximately 5 weeks away; contact tracing ~45%; no approved Bundibugyo vaccine; M23 forced …
Bundibugyo Ebola 837 cases / 196 deaths; +29 cases since June 16; Africa CDC worst-in-history warning active; burial-team members held hostage in Mongbwalu; co…
Bundibugyo Ebola +29 cases since June 16; Africa CDC worst-in-history warning unchanged; July peak now 1-5 weeks away; burial team held hostage in Mongbwalu.
Bundibugyo Ebola 837 cases / 196 deaths; +29 cases since June 16; Africa CDC worst-in-history warning; burial team attacked with 5 workers held hostage in Mong…
Bundibugyo Ebola 837/196; Africa CDC worst-in-history warning; burial team attacked with 5 workers hostage in Mongbwalu; contact tracing below 20%.
Bundibugyo Ebola 837 cases / 196 deaths; Africa CDC worst-in-history warning; burial team attacked with 5 workers taken hostage in Mongbwalu; contact tracing b…
Bundibugyo Ebola 837 cases / 196 deaths; IRC estimates ~20% contact coverage; WHO-led response active with US$220M pledge.
Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC: 837 cases / 196 deaths; July natural peak 2-6 weeks away; contact tracing below 20%.
Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC at 782 cases/181 deaths; WHO-led response active; international pledge US$220M.
Ebola PHEIC at 676 cases / 136 deaths; spread into displacement camp confirmed; July peak window approaching.
Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC advancing toward July natural peak window; displacement camp spread confirmed June 12; no approved vaccine for this strain.
Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak ongoing; externally-led WHO/Africa CDC/US response; Critical score confirmed.
Ebola PHEIC reaches 676 cases / 136 deaths; outbreak spreading into new North Kivu and Ituri zones.
Ebola Bundibugyo 635 cases / 127 deaths; +37 in one day; 18 Ituri health zones; no Bundibugyo vaccine.
Ebola Bundibugyo reaches 598 cases / 115 deaths; trajectory accelerating; Uganda cross-border confirmed.
Ebola PHEIC 515 cases / 91 deaths; Uganda cross-border spread; no approved Bundibugyo vaccine.
Ebola PHEIC 515 cases / 91 deaths; no approved Bundibugyo vaccine; exogenous shock on priced incapacity.
27 new Ebola cases in 24 hours; outbreak reaches 17 of 36 Ituri health zones; contact-tracing at 20%.
Ebola Bundibugyo reached 515 cases and 91 deaths; Uganda spread active; CDC worst-case 20,000; contact tracing at 20%.
Ebola Bundibugyo reached 515 cases / 91 deaths; Uganda spread continues; CDC worst-case 20,000; contact tracing at 20%.
Ebola Bundibugyo 381 cases / 64 deaths; PHEIC; Kampala transmission confirmed; no approved vaccine; 45% contact tracing coverage.
Ebola Bundibugyo 381 cases/64 deaths; PHEIC; Kampala transmission confirmed; no approved vaccine; 45% contact tracing coverage.
Ebola Bundibugyo 321 cases/48 deaths; Kampala transmission confirmed; NATURAL-DISASTER-OVERLAY holds absent documented obstruction.
Ebola Bundibugyo: 321 cases, 48 deaths; cross-border Uganda spread confirmed; NATURAL-DISASTER-OVERLAY holds absent documented obstruction.
NATURAL-DISASTER-OVERLAY re-affirmed: Bundibugyo Ebola (282 DRC confirmed, 9 Uganda confirmed, 42 deaths) is an exogenous shock revealing priced incapacity.
NATURAL-DISASTER-OVERLAY ruling: Bundibugyo Ebola (282 cases, 42 deaths, no vaccine) is an exogenous shock, not a new state act.
Near-floor confirm at 2.3; new Ebola outbreak (Bundibugyo strain) in Ituri; 26.5M acute hunger; only 23% of humanitarian response targets reached.