Iran

Executions intensify at a multi-decade high, but the near-floor score cannot fall further.

Political executions reach a multi-decade high, but the near-floor score cannot fall much further.

US-Iran talks resume July 11 in Doha. A documented lethal crackdown on political rivals would move Iran's score toward the floor.

US-Iran talks resume July 11 in Doha. A documented lethal crackdown on political rivals would move Iran's score toward the floor.

A documented lethal crackdown on mourners or political rivals during the funeral window would move Iran's score toward the floor.

New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei barred from his father's July 9 burial over fear of assassination; June executions exceed 108.

A documented lethal crackdown on mourners or political rivals during the funeral window (through July 9) would move Iran's score toward the floor.

141 June executions on record; Khamenei burial July 9; Fallahi sentence continues priced 784-plus year-to-date pattern; US-Iran talks resume July 11.

A documented lethal crackdown on mourners, demonstrators, or political rivals during the Khamenei funeral window (July 4-9) constitutes a new scored harm event…

Funeral Day 2 with Mojtaba absent; Fallahi death sentence July 1 own-conduct but priced in 784-plus YTD pattern; US-Iran talks paused to July 11.

A documented new mass-repression or lethal crackdown during the Khamenei funeral window (July 4-9) would constitute a new scored harm event. Mojtaba absent fro…

Khamenei funeral opens July 4 — first Supreme Leader transition in 35 years; funeral is procedural; US-Iran talks paused to July 11; no new scored own-conduct …

A documented new mass-repression or lethal crackdown during the Khamenei funeral window (July 4-9) would constitute a new scored harm event. Documented de-esca…

Khamenei state funeral July 4-9 is a procedural event; US-Iran talks paused; no new Iranian own-conduct harm in window; protest-suppression watch flag open thr…

A documented new mass-repression or lethal crackdown during the Khamenei funeral window (July 4-9) would constitute a new scored harm event. Documented de-esca…

A distinct civilian mass-casualty event from Hormuz navigation — not yet in evidence — would be a new scored threshold event toward the floor. Documented de-es…

784-plus executions year-to-date (37-year high); Hormuz central channel mined; Gulf strikes continue already-priced arc; near-floor reinforced.

A distinct civilian mass-casualty event from Hormuz navigation — not yet in evidence — would be a new scored threshold event toward the floor. Documented de-es…

Tehran did not confirm Doha talks June 30; Hormuz central channel mined; 784-plus executions year-to-date (37-year high); near-floor reinforced.

Iran's June 28 Gulf strikes are Iran's own negative conduct — scored against Iran; 784-plus executions year-to-date (37-year high); near-floor reinforced witho…

784-plus executions year-to-date — a 37-year high; execution rate unchanged after the June nuclear framework period; hunger strikes Week 126-plus across 56 pri…

784-plus executions year-to-date — a 37-year high; executions continued through the Islamabad nuclear framework period; hunger strikes Week 126-plus across 56 …

784-plus executions year-to-date — a 37-year high; 120-plus consecutive weeks of hunger strikes across 56 prisons; near-floor reinforced.

31 executions in four days (June 13-16) — one every three hours; 784-plus year-to-date, a 37-year high; near-floor reinforced.

784-plus executions in 2026 — a 37-year high; 78 protesters at risk of expedited execution; 125 consecutive weeks of prison hunger strikes.

784+ executions YTD 2026 at 37-year political high; 78+ protesters under expedited execution risk; 125th consecutive hunger-strike week across 56 prisons.

784+ executions YTD 2026 at 37-year political high; 125th consecutive hunger-strike week; 78+ protesters under imminent death sentence.

784+ executions YTD 2026; 126th consecutive weekly prison protest across 56 facilities; three protest-linked executions; 78 at imminent execution risk.

784 executions YTD 2026; 125th consecutive weekly prison protest; ACC and BND at dimensional minimums.

2,159 executions in 2025 (highest since 1981); 40+ political hangings in 2026 including protest-linked executions.

Detentions, executions, and sanctions ongoing; no new in-window mover; near-floor confirmed.

775 executions reported in 2026, including 32 political prisoners March through early June; near-floor confirmed.

31+ political executions since March 19; five more imminent per NCRI June 9 report.

Amnesty documents 6,000+ arrests and at least 39 political executions in 2026; 124th-week execution-campaign continuation.

124th-week No-to-Executions campaign; 2 Kurdish political prisoners executed June 1; 784+ YTD; 40+ political executions.

784+ executions YTD; one political prisoner executed every 49 hours; five more face imminent execution.

784 executions YTD; five political prisoners face imminent execution; 127th week of prison protests.

784 executions YTD; 126th consecutive week of prison execution protests; secret political executions June 1.

612+ executions YTD; 125th consecutive week of prison execution protests across 56 facilities.

612 executions YTD; 49+ hanged since late May; 124th consecutive week of anti-execution protests across 56 facilities.

612 executions YTD; June 1 secret executions of Kurdish prisoners; June 3 execution of January protester Avari; 41+ at imminent risk.

June 1–2 execution of three uprising-linked prisoners; approximately 37 political prisoners executed since March 19; Naghdi and Amiri brothers at imminent risk.

600+ executions YTD 2026 including 39+ political prisoners; Arman Marefati at imminent execution risk; 88-day internet shutdown lifted May 26.

NCRI June 2: Arman Marefati at imminent execution risk; 600+ executions YTD 2026; 123rd week of No-to-Executions-Tuesday protest.

June 1 secret execution of 2 Kurdish political prisoners; 600+ executions YTD 2026; single dominant extremity holds at 2.5.

SCALE-FLOOR-RULING re-affirmed: execution surge (22 political hangings in 6 weeks; 1,639 in 2025) is a single dominant extremity, not multi-category 0.0 thresh…

SCALE-FLOOR-RULING re-affirmed; partial internet restoration (May 25, ~40% traffic) is reactive, not an improvement signal.

SCALE-FLOOR-RULING re-affirmed; internet restored May 25 after 88-day blackout — partial reactive restoration is not an improvement signal.

Scale-floor ruling: 88-day internet blackout concurrent with mass arrests and 39 political executions during blackout period.

Scale-floor proximity hold; Amnesty 2025: 2,159 executions — highest since 1981, 80% of global total.